Nightslayer Horde

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 12g 26s | confidence Medium 74%
• Azurite RingStrong Buy | profit 8g 31s | confidence Medium 68%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 5g 81s | confidence Medium 72%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 5g 56s | confidence High 81%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 4g 83s | confidence Medium 58%
• Blade Dancer's WristguardsStrong Buy | profit 3g 70s | confidence Low 24%
• Frozen RuneStrong Buy | profit 3g 49s | confidence Low 33%
• Purified Shadow PearlStrong Buy | profit 3g 29s | confidence Low 19%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Light Shotprice 9g 55s | move +9554500.0% | sold/day 26.4
• Tigerseye Bandprice 7000g 0s | move +1014686.9% | sold/day 18.3
• Crafted Light Shotprice 2s 0c | move +19900.0% | sold/day 426.8
• Impact Shotprice 99s 99c | move +17139.7% | sold/day 98.8
• Rough Dynamiteprice 66s 52c | move +12943.1% | sold/day 63.3
• Razor Arrowprice 25s 22c | move +9600.0% | sold/day 1,178.8
• White Smoke Flareprice 1g 99s | move +7560.5% | sold/day 118.8
• Stag Meatprice 30s 99c | move +6943.2% | sold/day 31.9

Shortage Watch

• Heavy Scorpid Scalesupply 0 | sold/day 132.3 | change -
• Spinal Dustsupply 0 | sold/day 111.3 | change -
• Ring of Twilight Shadowssupply 0 | sold/day 55.0 | change -
• Goretusk Liversupply 0 | sold/day 53.9 | change -
• Crag Boar Ribsupply 0 | sold/day 48.0 | change -
• Nightscape Pantssupply 0 | sold/day 39.2 | change -
• Black Mageweave Headbandsupply 0 | sold/day 37.2 | change -
• Moongraze Stag Tenderloinsupply 0 | sold/day 29.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 16 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 75%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

16 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 75%.

• Anomaly16 scored | hit rate 75%
• Junk6 category calls scored | hit rate 67%
• Consumables4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Other4 category calls scored | hit rate 50%
• Crafted items2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.