Spineshatter Horde

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 12g 24s | confidence Low 37%
• Primal MoonclothStrong Buy | profit 7g 62s | confidence Low 39%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 6g 9s | confidence Medium 71%
• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 5g 59s | confidence Low 43%
• Vakkiz's ScaleStrong Buy | profit 5g 55s | confidence Low 15%
• Veiled Flame SpessariteStrong Buy | profit 3g 80s | confidence Medium 70%
• Tome of Conjure WaterStrong Buy | profit 3g 45s | confidence Low 32%
• Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 25s | confidence Medium 54%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Coarse Threadprice 600g 2s | move +2214003.0% | sold/day 109.7
• Lightning Eelprice 95s 73c | move +10419.8% | sold/day 106.2
• Raw Redgillprice 8s 86c | move +7954.5% | sold/day 203.8
• Darkshore Grouperprice 60s 12c | move +5912.0% | sold/day 12.2
• Heavy Shotprice 50c | move +4900.0% | sold/day 46.8
• Minor Mana Potionprice 4s 94c | move +3193.3% | sold/day 110.4
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 5price 2g 85s | move +2755.7% | sold/day 19.8
• Raw Slitherskin Mackerelprice 4s 55c | move +2743.8% | sold/day 34.6

Shortage Watch

• Crafted Solid Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 676.6 | change -
• Sharp Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 512.9 | change -
• Irradiated Crystal Shardsupply 0 | sold/day 216.1 | change -
• Goldthorn Teasupply 0 | sold/day 70.0 | change -
• Mild Spicessupply 0 | sold/day 59.2 | change -
• Star's Tearssupply 0 | sold/day 47.9 | change -
• Runecloth Beltsupply 0 | sold/day 39.5 | change -
• Moongraze Stag Tenderloinsupply 0 | sold/day 29.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 6 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 83%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

6 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 83%.

• Anomaly6 scored | hit rate 83%
• Other3 category calls scored | hit rate 67%
• Crafted items2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.