Payout Ledger

This version treats predictions like a real auction-house payout board: bought price is the observed listing price, quantity is capped by what was actually listed, and jackpot means positive expected value after changing sale chance, the 5% auction cut, failed-sale reposts, and 24-hour posting deposits.

Rows are collapsed to one simulated trade per item, market, and buy day. Price-drop predictions are excluded because they train the model; they are not gold-making trades.

How the payout is calculated

Gold result

Jackpot is total expected value, not guaranteed gold. It models 24-hour postings through the prediction horizon.

Expected gold = expected sold quantity x successful-sale profit - expected deposit risk Successful-sale profit = checked sell price x 95% AH cut - observed buy price Expected failed quantity = suggested buy quantity - expected sold quantity

If sale chance is 30%, the ledger expects some items to fail to sell and need reposting. Deposits are charged for the first post and each expected repost.

Inputs used

Observed buy price: the price present when the prediction was made.
Checked sell price: the later observed market price at the prediction horizon.
Sale chance: taken from the item, realm, and faction conditions captured at the buy-call snapshot when that feature row is still available. Older rows fall back to the stored buy-time model sell probability. Later sale/scoring snapshots do not change the buy rationale.
Sold/day, price, and supply: shown from the buy-call snapshot so the row explains why the trade was opened at that time.
24h deposit: vendor-based 24-hour auction deposit where item vendor value exists; otherwise a conservative fallback estimate is used. Reposts add more deposit risk.
Suggested buy quantity: capped by listed supply, sold/day, confidence, manipulation risk, expected ROI, and a 100g test budget.

Realm Faction

Item	Why this call?	Bought	Sold	Gold
Star of EluneDreamscythe AllianceGems	Buyers active: 283.8 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 126 listed Expected: 5g 01s -> 6g 00s Possible profit: 1g 78s (+13.9% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 66%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 1.8; deposit risk: 20g 99s Expected loss: -21g 26s EV	5g 01sBought 419th May 2026 18:54	5g 19sExpected sold 3.8, failed 0.2Reposts 1.8 \| Buy-time model sell probability 66%buy conditions \| +3.8%	NO PAYOUT-21g 26s EV20g 99s expected deposit risk
Vakkiz's ScaleDreamscythe AllianceOther	Buyers active: 19.0 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 16 listed Expected: 8g 89s -> 11g 07s Possible profit: 3g 89s (+18.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 68%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.9; deposit risk: 63s 42c Expected jackpot: +5g 94s EV	8g 89sBought 219th May 2026 18:54	12g 94sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.9 \| Buy-time model sell probability 68%buy conditions \| +45.5%	JACKPOT+5g 94s EV63s 42c expected deposit risk
Gezzarak's ClawsDreamscythe AllianceOther	Buyers active: 20.2 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 32 listed Expected: 7g 87s -> 10g 97s Possible profit: 4g 02s (+32.3% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 50%; expected failed: 0.5 Expected reposts: 3.0; deposit risk: 1g 37s Expected loss: -13g 15s EV	7g 87sBought 419th May 2026 18:36	4g 75sExpected sold 3.5, failed 0.5Reposts 3.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 50%buy conditions \| -39.6%	NO PAYOUT-13g 15s EV1g 37s expected deposit risk
Veiled Flame SpessariteDreamscythe AllianceGems	Buyers active: 62.2 sold each day Buy cap: 7 of 50 listed Expected: 2g 98s -> 4g 39s Possible profit: 4g 29s (+40.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 76%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 2.1; deposit risk: 67s 52c Expected loss: -10g 36s EV	2g 98sBought 719th May 2026 18:36	1g 65sExpected sold 6.9, failed 0.1Reposts 2.1 \| Buy-time model sell probability 76%buy conditions \| -44.3%	NO PAYOUT-10g 36s EV67s 52c expected deposit risk
Azurite RingDreamscythe AllianceRing	Buyers active: 16.0 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 15 listed Expected: 5g 89s -> 8g 82s Possible profit: 5g 57s (+42.3% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 67%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.9; deposit risk: 42s 38c Expected jackpot: +2g 87s EV	5g 89sBought 219th May 2026 18:54	8g 00sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.9 \| Buy-time model sell probability 67%buy conditions \| +35.8%	JACKPOT+2g 87s EV42s 38c expected deposit risk
Akkarai's TalonsDreamscythe AllianceOther	Buyers active: 18.2 sold each day Buy cap: 6 of 42 listed Expected: 9g 39s -> 13g 68s Possible profit: 7g 90s (+38.4% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 63%; expected failed: 0.3 Expected reposts: 3.0; deposit risk: 2g 12s Expected loss: -30g 32s EV	9g 39sBought 619th May 2026 18:54	4g 67sExpected sold 5.7, failed 0.3Reposts 3.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 63%buy conditions \| -50.2%	NO PAYOUT-30g 32s EV2g 12s expected deposit risk
Karrog's SpineDreamscythe AllianceOther	Buyers active: 45.0 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 12 listed Expected: 4g 99s -> 8g 36s Possible profit: 8g 73s (+59.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 78%; expected failed: 0.0 Expected reposts: 0.3; deposit risk: 15s 90c Expected jackpot: +3g 09s EV	4g 99sBought 119th May 2026 18:54	8g 72sExpected sold 1.0, failed 0.0Reposts 0.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 78%buy conditions \| +74.6%	JACKPOT+3g 09s EV15s 90c expected deposit risk
Deadly Flame SpessariteDreamscythe HordeGems	Buyers active: 20.1 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 35 listed Expected: 2g 35s -> 3g 08s Possible profit: 2g 58s (+24.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 61%; expected failed: 0.3 Expected reposts: 2.7; deposit risk: 45s 20c Expected loss: -5g 51s EV	2g 35sBought 519th May 2026 18:08	1g 34sExpected sold 4.7, failed 0.3Reposts 2.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 61%buy conditions \| -42.8%	NO PAYOUT-5g 51s EV45s 20c expected deposit risk
Formula: Enchant Weapon - LifestealingDreamscythe HordeEnchanting materials	Buyers active: 10.3 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 10 listed Expected: 4g 99s -> 6g 14s Possible profit: 3g 51s (+16.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 57%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.6; deposit risk: 20s 15c Expected jackpot: +12g 69s EV	4g 99sBought 119th May 2026 18:54	19g 99sExpected sold 0.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 57%buy conditions \| +300.0%	JACKPOT+12g 69s EV20s 15c expected deposit risk
Azurite RingDreamscythe HordeRing	Buyers active: 16.0 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 28 listed Expected: 7g 53s -> 9g 61s Possible profit: 11g 25s (+21.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 61%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 2.2; deposit risk: 1g 16s Expected jackpot: +19g 58s EV	7g 53sBought 419th May 2026 18:54	13g 74sExpected sold 3.8, failed 0.2Reposts 2.2 \| Buy-time model sell probability 61%buy conditions \| +82.4%	JACKPOT+19g 58s EV1g 16s expected deposit risk
Karrog's SpineDreamscythe HordeOther	Buyers active: 45.0 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 3 listed Expected: 10g 21s -> 12g 01s Possible profit: 3g 36s (+11.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 76%; expected failed: 0.0 Expected reposts: 0.3; deposit risk: 33s 16c Expected jackpot: +36s 48c EV	10g 21sBought 119th May 2026 18:54	11g 49sExpected sold 1.0, failed 0.0Reposts 0.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 76%buy conditions \| +12.5%	JACKPOT+36s 48c EV33s 16c expected deposit risk
Tourmaline LoopDreamscythe HordeRing	Buyers active: 22.6 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 60 listed Expected: 4g 44s -> 6g 60s Possible profit: 6g 95s (+41.3% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 42%; expected failed: 1.6 Expected reposts: 7.3; deposit risk: 1g 69s Expected jackpot: +29s 73c EV	4g 44sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	5g 00sExpected sold 6.4, failed 1.6Reposts 7.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 42%buy conditions \| +12.6%	JACKPOT+29s 73c EV1g 69s expected deposit risk
Akkarai's TalonsDreamscythe HordeOther	Buyers active: 18.2 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 36 listed Expected: 5g 24s -> 9g 85s Possible profit: 8g 62s (+78.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 66%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 2.3; deposit risk: 95s 98c Expected loss: -17g 48s EV	5g 24sBought 519th May 2026 18:54	1g 89sExpected sold 4.8, failed 0.2Reposts 2.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 66%buy conditions \| -63.8%	NO PAYOUT-17g 48s EV95s 98c expected deposit risk
Gezzarak's ClawsDreamscythe HordeOther	Buyers active: 22.1 sold each day Buy cap: 3 of 20 listed Expected: 5g 75s -> 8g 19s Possible profit: 11g 11s (+35.1% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 64%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 1.5; deposit risk: 64s 39c Expected jackpot: +16g 84s EV	5g 75sBought 319th May 2026 18:54	12g 49sExpected sold 2.9, failed 0.1Reposts 1.5 \| Buy-time model sell probability 64%buy conditions \| +117.0%	JACKPOT+16g 84s EV64s 39c expected deposit risk
Vakkiz's ScaleDreamscythe HordeOther	Buyers active: 19.0 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 18 listed Expected: 10g 94s -> 15g 80s Possible profit: 15g 96s (+37.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 67%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.9; deposit risk: 78s 90c Expected jackpot: +42g 15s EV	10g 94sBought 219th May 2026 18:08	34g 97sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.9 \| Buy-time model sell probability 67%buy conditions \| +219.6%	JACKPOT+42g 15s EV78s 90c expected deposit risk
Amber BandNightslayer AllianceRing	Buyers active: 69.7 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 199 listed Expected: 4g 25s -> 5g 62s Possible profit: 3g 07s (+25.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 53%; expected failed: 0.8 Expected reposts: 5.6; deposit risk: 1g 44s Expected loss: -1g 26s EV	4g 25sBought 819th May 2026 18:08	4g 50sExpected sold 7.2, failed 0.8Reposts 5.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 53%buy conditions \| +5.9%	NO PAYOUT-1g 26s EV1g 44s expected deposit risk
Tome of Conjure FoodNightslayer AllianceBook	Buyers active: 21.2 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 36 listed Expected: 15g 69s -> 18g 34s Possible profit: 2g 99s (+11.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 50%; expected failed: 0.5 Expected reposts: 3.0; deposit risk: 2g 73s Expected jackpot: +142g 25s EV	15g 69sBought 419th May 2026 18:54	59g 99sExpected sold 3.5, failed 0.5Reposts 3.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 50%buy conditions \| +282.2%	JACKPOT+142g 25s EV2g 73s expected deposit risk
Rigid Azure MoonstoneNightslayer AllianceCrafted items	Buyers active: 42.5 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 90 listed Expected: 1g 50s -> 3g 19s Possible profit: 3g 17s (+101.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 76%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 2.3; deposit risk: 39s 03c Expected jackpot: +17g 83s EV	1g 50sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	4g 01sExpected sold 7.9, failed 0.1Reposts 2.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 76%buy conditions \| +166.3%	JACKPOT+17g 83s EV39s 03c expected deposit risk
Void SphereNightslayer AllianceGems	Buyers active: 43.3 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 65 listed Expected: 2g 99s -> 4g 65s Possible profit: 3g 87s (+47.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 67%; expected failed: 0.3 Expected reposts: 3.5; deposit risk: 85s 86c Expected loss: -2g 05s EV	2g 99sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	2g 99sExpected sold 7.7, failed 0.3Reposts 3.5 \| Buy-time model sell probability 67%buy conditions \| -0.2%	NO PAYOUT-2g 05s EV85s 86c expected deposit risk
Karrog's SpineNightslayer AllianceOther	Buyers active: 45.0 sold each day Buy cap: 6 of 40 listed Expected: 8g 99s -> 13g 01s Possible profit: 7g 38s (+37.4% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 68%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 2.6; deposit risk: 1g 92s Expected loss: -22g 82s EV	8g 99sBought 619th May 2026 18:54	5g 67sExpected sold 5.8, failed 0.2Reposts 2.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 68%buy conditions \| -36.9%	NO PAYOUT-22g 82s EV1g 92s expected deposit risk
Gezzarak's ClawsNightslayer AllianceOther	Buyers active: 20.2 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 53 listed Expected: 18g 77s -> 22g 17s Possible profit: 4g 43s (+12.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 52%; expected failed: 0.4 Expected reposts: 2.9; deposit risk: 3g 21s Expected loss: -59g 86s EV	18g 77sBought 419th May 2026 18:08	2g 99sExpected sold 3.6, failed 0.4Reposts 2.9 \| Buy-time model sell probability 52%buy conditions \| -84.1%	NO PAYOUT-59g 86s EV3g 21s expected deposit risk
Akkarai's TalonsNightslayer AllianceOther	Buyers active: 18.2 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 27 listed Expected: 7g 00s -> 12g 83s Possible profit: 10g 92s (+74.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 57%; expected failed: 0.3 Expected reposts: 2.5; deposit risk: 1g 13s Expected loss: -3g 83s EV	7g 00sBought 419th May 2026 18:54	6g 59sExpected sold 3.7, failed 0.3Reposts 2.5 \| Buy-time model sell probability 57%buy conditions \| -5.8%	NO PAYOUT-3g 83s EV1g 13s expected deposit risk
Draenei Crystal RodNightslayer HordeOffHandFrill	Buyers active: 25.3 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 64 listed Expected: 4g 99s -> 5g 92s Possible profit: 2g 95s (+12.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 38%; expected failed: 0.9 Expected reposts: 4.0; deposit risk: 1g 00s Expected loss: -1g 76s EV	4g 99sBought 419th May 2026 18:08	4g 99sExpected sold 3.1, failed 0.9Reposts 4.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 38%buy conditions \| -0.0%	NO PAYOUT-1g 76s EV1g 00s expected deposit risk
Great Golden DraeniteNightslayer HordeCrafted items	Buyers active: 42.0 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 42 listed Expected: 3g 99s -> 4g 70s Possible profit: 3g 09s (+11.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 72%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 1.4; deposit risk: 54s 19c Expected loss: -5g 03s EV	3g 99sBought 419th May 2026 18:08	2g 99sExpected sold 3.9, failed 0.1Reposts 1.4 \| Buy-time model sell probability 72%buy conditions \| -25.0%	NO PAYOUT-5g 03s EV54s 19c expected deposit risk
NightseyeNightslayer HordeGems	Buyers active: 198.2 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 300 listed Expected: 7g 74s -> 9g 18s Possible profit: 3g 11s (+12.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 67%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 1.8; deposit risk: 1g 11s Expected jackpot: +1g 58s EV	7g 74sBought 419th May 2026 18:54	8g 88sExpected sold 3.9, failed 0.1Reposts 1.8 \| Buy-time model sell probability 67%buy conditions \| +14.8%	JACKPOT+1g 58s EV1g 11s expected deposit risk
Amber CapeNightslayer HordeCloak	Buyers active: 46.4 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 124 listed Expected: 4g 22s -> 5g 48s Possible profit: 3g 11s (+23.5% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 53%; expected failed: 0.8 Expected reposts: 5.5; deposit risk: 1g 42s Expected jackpot: +3g 25s EV	4g 22sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	5g 12sExpected sold 7.2, failed 0.8Reposts 5.5 \| Buy-time model sell probability 53%buy conditions \| +21.5%	JACKPOT+3g 25s EV1g 42s expected deposit risk
Frozen RuneNightslayer HordeOther	Buyers active: 40.3 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 169 listed Expected: 9g 99s -> 12g 36s Possible profit: 6g 37s (+17.5% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 65%; expected failed: 0.3 Expected reposts: 3.8; deposit risk: 2g 94s Expected loss: -6g 77s EV	9g 99sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	9g 99sExpected sold 7.7, failed 0.3Reposts 3.8 \| Buy-time model sell probability 65%buy conditions \| +0.0%	NO PAYOUT-6g 77s EV2g 94s expected deposit risk
Tourmaline LoopNightslayer HordeRing	Buyers active: 22.6 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 67 listed Expected: 4g 00s -> 6g 01s Possible profit: 6g 45s (+42.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 42%; expected failed: 1.6 Expected reposts: 7.3; deposit risk: 1g 53s Expected jackpot: +9g 43s EV	4g 00sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	5g 99sExpected sold 6.4, failed 1.6Reposts 7.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 42%buy conditions \| +50.0%	JACKPOT+9g 43s EV1g 53s expected deposit risk
Karrog's SpineNightslayer HordeOther	Buyers active: 25.1 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 17 listed Expected: 5g 77s -> 8g 31s Possible profit: 8g 27s (+36.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 64%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 1.0; deposit risk: 43s 25c Expected jackpot: +26g 15s EV	5g 77sBought 219th May 2026 18:08	20g 78sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 1.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 64%buy conditions \| +259.9%	JACKPOT+26g 15s EV43s 25c expected deposit risk
Gezzarak's ClawsNightslayer HordeOther	Buyers active: 22.1 sold each day Buy cap: 3 of 23 listed Expected: 2g 79s -> 7g 53s Possible profit: 9g 06s (+156.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 62%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 1.6; deposit risk: 31s 83c Expected jackpot: +34g 60s EV	2g 79sBought 319th May 2026 18:54	15g 88sExpected sold 2.8, failed 0.2Reposts 1.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 62%buy conditions \| +468.4%	JACKPOT+34g 60s EV31s 83c expected deposit risk
Akkarai's TalonsNightslayer HordeOther	Buyers active: 18.2 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 12 listed Expected: 5g 99s -> 12g 54s Possible profit: 17g 18s (+98.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 66%; expected failed: 0.0 Expected reposts: 0.5; deposit risk: 21s 93c Expected loss: -3g 25s EV	5g 99sBought 119th May 2026 18:54	2g 98sExpected sold 1.0, failed 0.0Reposts 0.5 \| Buy-time model sell probability 66%buy conditions \| -50.2%	NO PAYOUT-3g 25s EV21s 93c expected deposit risk
Gezzarak's ClawsSpineshatter AllianceOther	Buyers active: 22.1 sold each day Buy cap: 7 of 68 listed Expected: 8g 99s -> 11g 47s Possible profit: 4g 34s (+21.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 38%; expected failed: 1.6 Expected reposts: 7.0; deposit risk: 3g 14s Expected loss: -41g 93s EV	8g 99sBought 719th May 2026 18:54	1g 85sExpected sold 5.4, failed 1.6Reposts 7.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 38%buy conditions \| -79.4%	NO PAYOUT-41g 93s EV3g 14s expected deposit risk
Tome of Conjure WaterSpineshatter AllianceBook	Buyers active: 28.5 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 91 listed Expected: 4g 00s -> 5g 78s Possible profit: 5g 13s (+37.1% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 42%; expected failed: 1.5 Expected reposts: 7.3; deposit risk: 1g 52s Expected jackpot: +89g 31s EV	4g 00sBought 819th May 2026 18:54	18g 99sExpected sold 6.5, failed 1.5Reposts 7.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 42%buy conditions \| +374.1%	JACKPOT+89g 31s EV1g 52s expected deposit risk
Azurite RingSpineshatter AllianceRing	Buyers active: 16.0 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 17 listed Expected: 6g 53s -> 8g 91s Possible profit: 5g 30s (+29.5% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 67%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.9; deposit risk: 47s 01c Expected jackpot: +3g 41s EV	6g 53sBought 219th May 2026 18:54	8g 99sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.9 \| Buy-time model sell probability 67%buy conditions \| +37.7%	JACKPOT+3g 41s EV47s 01c expected deposit risk
Vakkiz's ScaleSpineshatter AllianceOther	Buyers active: 19.0 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 17 listed Expected: 13g 99s -> 17g 48s Possible profit: 8g 61s (+18.7% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 69%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.8; deposit risk: 97s 93c Expected jackpot: +57g 99s EV	13g 99sBought 219th May 2026 18:54	46g 68sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.8 \| Buy-time model sell probability 69%buy conditions \| +233.5%	JACKPOT+57g 99s EV97s 93c expected deposit risk
Karrog's SpineSpineshatter HordeOther	Buyers active: 45.0 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 209 listed Expected: 7g 99s -> 9g 14s Possible profit: 3g 84s (+8.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 41%; expected failed: 0.8 Expected reposts: 3.8; deposit risk: 1g 55s Expected loss: -21g 78s EV	7g 99sBought 419th May 2026 18:53	1g 69sExpected sold 3.2, failed 0.8Reposts 3.8 \| Buy-time model sell probability 41%buy conditions \| -78.9%	NO PAYOUT-21g 78s EV1g 55s expected deposit risk
Tourmaline LoopSpineshatter HordeRing	Buyers active: 22.6 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 99 listed Expected: 5g 99s -> 8g 02s Possible profit: 4g 13s (+27.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 31%; expected failed: 2.7 Expected reposts: 9.4; deposit risk: 2g 61s Expected loss: -6g 69s EV	5g 99sBought 819th May 2026 18:53	5g 50sExpected sold 5.3, failed 2.7Reposts 9.4 \| Buy-time model sell probability 31%buy conditions \| -8.2%	NO PAYOUT-6g 69s EV2g 61s expected deposit risk
Veiled Shadow DraeniteSpineshatter HordeGems	Buyers active: 64.4 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 302 listed Expected: 4g 69s -> 7g 09s Possible profit: 4g 36s (+43.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 47%; expected failed: 1.2 Expected reposts: 6.6; deposit risk: 1g 70s Expected loss: -25g 87s EV	4g 69sBought 819th May 2026 18:53	1g 18sExpected sold 6.8, failed 1.2Reposts 6.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 47%buy conditions \| -74.7%	NO PAYOUT-25g 87s EV1g 70s expected deposit risk
Spined RingDreamscythe AllianceRing	Buyers active: 17.9 sold each day Buy cap: 2 of 17 listed Expected: 5g 00s -> 6g 01s Possible profit: 2g 58s (+14.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 58%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 1.2; deposit risk: 39s 73c Expected loss: -86s 15c EV	5g 00sBought 219th May 2026 18:36	4g 99sExpected sold 1.9, failed 0.1Reposts 1.2 \| Buy-time model sell probability 58%buy conditions \| -0.0%	NO PAYOUT-86s 15c EV39s 73c expected deposit risk
Deathwing Brood CloakDreamscythe AllianceCloak	Buyers active: 24.8 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 86 listed Expected: 17g 51s -> 28g 61s Possible profit: 26g 35s (+55.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 31%; expected failed: 1.7 Expected reposts: 5.9; deposit risk: 4g 76s Expected loss: -6g 16s EV	17g 51sBought 519th May 2026 18:36	18g 00sExpected sold 3.3, failed 1.7Reposts 5.9 \| Buy-time model sell probability 31%buy conditions \| +2.7%	NO PAYOUT-6g 16s EV4g 76s expected deposit risk
Pattern: Boots of Natural GraceDreamscythe HordeRecipes	Buyers active: 10.7 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 20 listed Expected: 145g 00s -> 209g 68s Possible profit: 195g 78s (+37.4% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 56%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.6; deposit risk: 5g 89s Expected loss: -112g 90s EV	145g 00sBought 119th May 2026 18:08	29g 75sExpected sold 0.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 56%buy conditions \| -79.5%	NO PAYOUT-112g 90s EV5g 89s expected deposit risk
Plans: Boots of the ProtectorDreamscythe HordeRecipes	Buyers active: 10.4 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 10 listed Expected: 175g 99s -> 342g 67s Possible profit: 457g 85s (+85.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 53%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.7; deposit risk: 7g 41s Expected loss: -124g 54s EV	175g 99sBought 119th May 2026 18:08	47g 95sExpected sold 0.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 53%buy conditions \| -72.8%	NO PAYOUT-124g 54s EV7g 41s expected deposit risk
Spined RingDreamscythe HordeRing	Buyers active: 17.9 sold each day Buy cap: 6 of 45 listed Expected: 5g 00s -> 6g 65s Possible profit: 5g 37s (+26.5% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 33%; expected failed: 1.8 Expected reposts: 6.7; deposit risk: 1g 58s Expected loss: -2g 67s EV	5g 00sBought 619th May 2026 18:08	4g 99sExpected sold 4.2, failed 1.8Reposts 6.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 33%buy conditions \| -0.2%	NO PAYOUT-2g 67s EV1g 58s expected deposit risk
Deathwing Brood CloakDreamscythe HordeCloak	Buyers active: 24.8 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 81 listed Expected: 18g 99s -> 29g 56s Possible profit: 28g 78s (+47.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 32%; expected failed: 1.6 Expected reposts: 5.7; deposit risk: 5g 07s Expected loss: -8g 74s EV	18g 99sBought 519th May 2026 18:08	18g 87sExpected sold 3.4, failed 1.6Reposts 5.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 32%buy conditions \| -0.6%	NO PAYOUT-8g 74s EV5g 07s expected deposit risk
Mark of the Nexus-KingDreamscythe HordeOther	Buyers active: 10.9 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 8 listed Expected: 49g 99s -> 66g 23s Possible profit: 40g 76s (+25.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 47%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 0.8; deposit risk: 2g 27s Expected jackpot: +15g 45s EV	49g 99sBought 119th May 2026 18:08	74g 62sExpected sold 0.8, failed 0.2Reposts 0.8 \| Buy-time model sell probability 47%buy conditions \| +49.3%	JACKPOT+15g 45s EV2g 27s expected deposit risk
Spined RingNightslayer AllianceRing	Buyers active: 17.9 sold each day Buy cap: 6 of 53 listed Expected: 4g 99s -> 6g 85s Possible profit: 5g 48s (+30.3% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 33%; expected failed: 1.8 Expected reposts: 6.7; deposit risk: 1g 58s Expected loss: -2g 63s EV	4g 99sBought 619th May 2026 18:08	5g 00sExpected sold 4.2, failed 1.8Reposts 6.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 33%buy conditions \| +0.0%	NO PAYOUT-2g 63s EV1g 58s expected deposit risk
Frozen RuneNightslayer AllianceOther	Buyers active: 56.1 sold each day Buy cap: 7 of 48 listed Expected: 9g 99s -> 13g 31s Possible profit: 8g 68s (+26.5% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 77%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 2.0; deposit risk: 2g 24s Expected jackpot: +27g 14s EV	9g 99sBought 719th May 2026 18:08	14g 99sExpected sold 6.9, failed 0.1Reposts 2.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 77%buy conditions \| +50.0%	JACKPOT+27g 14s EV2g 24s expected deposit risk
Deathwing Brood CloakNightslayer AllianceCloak	Buyers active: 24.8 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 81 listed Expected: 16g 99s -> 23g 20s Possible profit: 15g 82s (+29.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 32%; expected failed: 1.6 Expected reposts: 5.7; deposit risk: 4g 53s Expected jackpot: +2g 37s EV	16g 99sBought 519th May 2026 18:08	19g 99sExpected sold 3.4, failed 1.6Reposts 5.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 32%buy conditions \| +17.7%	JACKPOT+2g 37s EV4g 53s expected deposit risk
Spined RingNightslayer HordeRing	Buyers active: 17.9 sold each day Buy cap: 6 of 52 listed Expected: 4g 50s -> 6g 67s Possible profit: 5g 05s (+40.9% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 33%; expected failed: 1.8 Expected reposts: 6.7; deposit risk: 1g 42s Expected loss: -4g 34s EV	4g 50sBought 619th May 2026 18:08	4g 00sExpected sold 4.2, failed 1.8Reposts 6.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 33%buy conditions \| -10.9%	NO PAYOUT-4g 34s EV1g 42s expected deposit risk
Deathwing Brood CloakNightslayer HordeCloak	Buyers active: 24.8 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 72 listed Expected: 17g 94s -> 33g 93s Possible profit: 46g 07s (+79.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 34%; expected failed: 1.4 Expected reposts: 5.4; deposit risk: 4g 67s Expected loss: -4g 67s EV	17g 94sBought 519th May 2026 18:08	18g 89sExpected sold 3.6, failed 1.4Reposts 5.4 \| Buy-time model sell probability 34%buy conditions \| +5.3%	NO PAYOUT-4g 67s EV4g 67s expected deposit risk
Twilight Cultist RobeSpineshatter AllianceRaw materials	Buyers active: 11.3 sold each day Buy cap: 0 of 0 listed No trade was opened No gold result is scored because nothing was bought	1g 69sNo buy19th May 2026 18:08	2g 99sNo sale assumedBuy-time model sell probability 53%buy conditions \| +77.1%	NO TRADE-0c expected deposit risk
Deathwing Brood CloakSpineshatter AllianceCloak	Buyers active: 24.8 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 74 listed Expected: 19g 88s -> 23g 61s Possible profit: 10g 68s (+12.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 34%; expected failed: 1.1 Expected reposts: 4.3; deposit risk: 4g 14s Expected loss: -6g 71s EV	19g 88sBought 419th May 2026 18:08	19g 99sExpected sold 2.9, failed 1.1Reposts 4.3 \| Buy-time model sell probability 34%buy conditions \| +0.5%	NO PAYOUT-6g 71s EV4g 14s expected deposit risk
Tome of Conjure FoodThunderstrike AllianceBook	Buyers active: 12.8 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 12 listed Expected: 10g 98s -> 12g 58s Possible profit: 3g 60s (+8.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 62%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.5; deposit risk: 41s 89c Expected loss: -2s 89c EV	10g 98sBought 119th May 2026 18:08	11g 99sExpected sold 0.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.5 \| Buy-time model sell probability 62%buy conditions \| +9.2%	NO PAYOUT-2s 89c EV41s 89c expected deposit risk
Tourmaline LoopThunderstrike AllianceRing	Buyers active: 21.9 sold each day Buy cap: 5 of 35 listed Expected: 3g 87s -> 5g 45s Possible profit: 3g 86s (+33.6% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 46%; expected failed: 0.8 Expected reposts: 4.2; deposit risk: 89s 08c Expected jackpot: +2g 77s EV	3g 87sBought 519th May 2026 18:08	5g 00sExpected sold 4.2, failed 0.8Reposts 4.2 \| Buy-time model sell probability 46%buy conditions \| +28.9%	JACKPOT+2g 77s EV89s 08c expected deposit risk
Primal LifeThunderstrike AllianceCrafted items	Buyers active: 746.5 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 626 listed Expected: 7g 99s -> 9g 45s Possible profit: 4g 49s (+12.3% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 64%; expected failed: 0.2 Expected reposts: 2.0; deposit risk: 1g 19s Expected jackpot: +2g 14s EV	7g 99sBought 419th May 2026 18:08	9g 34sExpected sold 3.8, failed 0.2Reposts 2.0 \| Buy-time model sell probability 64%buy conditions \| +16.8%	JACKPOT+2g 14s EV1g 19s expected deposit risk
Karrog's SpineThunderstrike AllianceOther	Buyers active: 25.1 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 65 listed Expected: 3g 98s -> 5g 24s Possible profit: 6g 16s (+25.0% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 52%; expected failed: 0.9 Expected reposts: 5.6; deposit risk: 1g 36s Expected loss: -10g 83s EV	3g 98sBought 819th May 2026 18:08	2g 79sExpected sold 7.1, failed 0.9Reposts 5.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 52%buy conditions \| -29.8%	NO PAYOUT-10g 83s EV1g 36s expected deposit risk
Great Golden DraeniteThunderstrike HordeCrafted items	Buyers active: 42.0 sold each day Buy cap: 4 of 240 listed Expected: 4g 99s -> 5g 79s Possible profit: 2g 97s (+10.1% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 42%; expected failed: 0.8 Expected reposts: 3.6; deposit risk: 95s 58c Expected loss: -10g 97s EV	4g 99sBought 419th May 2026 18:08	1g 99sExpected sold 3.2, failed 0.8Reposts 3.6 \| Buy-time model sell probability 42%buy conditions \| -60.1%	NO PAYOUT-10g 97s EV95s 58c expected deposit risk
Stormy Star of EluneThunderstrike HordeGems	Buyers active: 22.3 sold each day Buy cap: 8 of 73 listed Expected: 4g 03s -> 5g 32s Possible profit: 4g 05s (+25.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 46%; expected failed: 1.3 Expected reposts: 6.7; deposit risk: 1g 48s Expected jackpot: +12g 52s EV	4g 03sBought 819th May 2026 18:08	6g 45sExpected sold 6.7, failed 1.3Reposts 6.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 46%buy conditions \| +59.7%	JACKPOT+12g 52s EV1g 48s expected deposit risk
Spined RingThunderstrike HordeRing	Buyers active: 17.9 sold each day Buy cap: 6 of 50 listed Expected: 4g 00s -> 5g 22s Possible profit: 4g 42s (+24.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 33%; expected failed: 1.8 Expected reposts: 6.7; deposit risk: 1g 26s Expected jackpot: +1g 90s EV	4g 00sBought 619th May 2026 18:08	5g 00sExpected sold 4.2, failed 1.8Reposts 6.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 33%buy conditions \| +25.0%	JACKPOT+1g 90s EV1g 26s expected deposit risk
Gezzarak's ClawsThunderstrike HordeOther	Buyers active: 20.2 sold each day Buy cap: 7 of 61 listed Expected: 4g 88s -> 6g 73s Possible profit: 9g 08s (+30.8% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 38%; expected failed: 1.7 Expected reposts: 7.1; deposit risk: 1g 72s Expected jackpot: +2g 57s EV	4g 88sBought 719th May 2026 18:08	5g 99sExpected sold 5.3, failed 1.7Reposts 7.1 \| Buy-time model sell probability 38%buy conditions \| +22.7%	JACKPOT+2g 57s EV1g 72s expected deposit risk
Pattern: Boots of Natural GraceThunderstrike HordeRecipes	Buyers active: 10.7 sold each day Buy cap: 1 of 10 listed Expected: 95g 88s -> 222g 21s Possible profit: 355g 12s (+120.2% expected return) Buy-time model sell probability: 55%; expected failed: 0.1 Expected reposts: 0.7; deposit risk: 3g 97s Expected loss: -73g 72s EV	95g 88sBought 119th May 2026 18:08	19g 99sExpected sold 0.9, failed 0.1Reposts 0.7 \| Buy-time model sell probability 55%buy conditions \| -79.1%	NO PAYOUT-73g 72s EV3g 97s expected deposit risk

Pending Reads

Mystic Dawnstone: pending until the 3-day sold result can be scored.